Okay, decade, schmeckade. And I know in all seriousness that you don't have a million bucks :-)

But computing power generally has an inverse proportion to size. In order to become more powerful, they must shrink. Then there's Quantum Computing, where suddenly the current chip paradigm looks like tubes and punch cards compared.

Most of the space in a current tower are disk and peripheral bays, PCI slots, and power supply. Disks will be SSD, and peripherals can be outboard, Thunderbolt can supplant internal PCI, and then you only need a fraction of the power supply. What do you have then? A Mac Mini with better CPU's, pretty much. And I suspect that in the long run, that's Apple's point. That instead of buying one Monster Truck of a computer, you'd be better served by buying a fleet of FIT's.

Tim Sassoon

SFD

Santa Monica, CA

On Jun 14, 2012, at 11:39 AM, Stephen van Vuuren wrote:

> The "pro" computer ten years from now will be the same size as today's iPhone.

I will bet a million dollars, in all seriousness, in front  of all the witnesses here, that this is not the case. Physics says no as does Moore’s law and what we will be doing with said computers in ten years.

I will agree the iPhone of ten years from now will outperform todays tower. But I am sure enough to bet a million dollars that pro’s will need far more power than that. The iPhone today much slower than the pro CPU in 2002. And the pro CPUs 10 years ago can’t run any recent version of CS6 (which requires Core 2 Duo minimum).

 

Unless you are hoping some massive revolution in chip/CPU/drive/RAM/storage, I think my best is pretty safe.

 

Plus, my towers have been getting bigger over the last 10 years, not smaller…

 

stephen van vuuren

336.202.4777

 

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