> I'm not sure the desktop will exist in five years.

 

People have been predicting it’s death almost since it was invented. http://www.technologyreview.com/view/428507/predicting-the-post-pc-era-20-years-ago/

 

I think physics and cost get left out of the equation. If it’s possible to build a computer in 5 years that fits in a tiny phone that’s as powerful as workstation today – it also means in 5 years a that same CPU technology will power a desktop 5 times as powerful as that phone for probably the same money or less.

So, in 5 years are you buying the phone or the desktop that’s five times as powerful?

We’ve had tiny computers for 20 plus years – I had a Zeos handheld smaller and lighter than an iPad with a “desktop” class 386 CPU 20 years ago. It’s nothing new, it’s just they are in phones with a GUI now.

 

I willing to bet a 6 pack of the finest in 5 years the desktop will not be dead for workstation users. You’ll have client wanting 4D holographic compositing and need a 100-core desktop with a terabyte of RAM to run it.

 

stephen van vuuren

336.202.4777

 

http://www.insaturnsrings.com/

http://www.sv2dcp.com/

http://www.sv2studios.com/

 

A film is – or should be – more like music than like fiction. It should be a progression of moods and feelings. The theme, what’s behind the emotion, the meaning, all that comes later.

–Stanley Kubrick

 

From: After Effects Mail List [mailto:AE-List@media-motion.tv] On Behalf Of Tim Sassoon
Sent: Monday, November 05, 2012 6:40 PM
To: After Effects Mail List
Subject: Re: [AE] OT: Apple contemplating switching from Intel CPUs

 

I'm not sure the desktop will exist in five years. Or OS X. Or Android. iOS and WinMob, yes.

 

 

Tim Sassoon
Sassoon Film Design
2525 Main Street
Suite 206
Santa Monica, CA 90405
W 310.664.9115
M 310.266.8630

 

On Nov 5, 2012, at 3:05 PM, Søren Christensen <soren@desilence.net> wrote:

Silicon Graphics could probably tell a story or two about what can happen if you go too pro only